Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea Prediction

BeijingHard courtSeptember 28, 2026

SetProb predicts Arthur Gea to win (71% probability) over Tomas Machac.

Winner: Arthur GeaOur pick: Arthur Gea (71%)Correct

Tomas Machac

Rank #75 Top 100

H2H 0-1

Arthur Gea

Rank #58 Top 100

29%Probability: Arthur Gea71%

ELO

37%63%

H2H

33%67%

H2H Surface

25%75%

Surface

41%59%

Last 10

44%56%

Season Form

42%58%

Our model: 71%·Odds (Kalshi): 55%·Edge: +16%·Market agrees

Probability→ Favor Arthur Gea (71% prob)Strong signal