Jelena Ostapenko vs Paula Badosa Prediction

BeijingHard courtOctober 2, 2026

SetProb predicts Paula Badosa to win (58% probability) over Jelena Ostapenko.

Winner: Jelena OstapenkoOur pick: Paula Badosa (58%)Wrong

Jelena Ostapenko

Rank #32 Top 100

H2H 3-2

Paula Badosa

Rank #59 Top 100

42%Probability: Paula Badosa58%

ELO

42%58%

H2H

60%40%

H2H Surface

67%33%

Surface

45%55%

Last 10

42%58%

Season Form

49%51%

Our model: 58%·Odds (Kalshi): 61%·Edge: -3%

Probability→ Favor Paula Badosa (58% prob)Close match