Xinyu Gao vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

BeijingHard courtOctober 2, 2026

SetProb predicts Iga Swiatek to win (87% probability) over Xinyu Gao.

Winner: Iga SwiatekOur pick: Iga Swiatek (87%)Correct

Xinyu Gao

Rank #244 Outside Top 200

No H2H

Iga Swiatek

Rank #9 Top 10

13%Probability: Iga Swiatek87%

ELO

16%84%

H2H

50%50%

H2H Surface

50%50%

Surface

36%64%

Last 10

39%61%

Season Form

38%62%

Our model: 87%·Odds (Kalshi): 97%·Edge: -10%·Market agrees

Probability→ Favor Iga Swiatek (87% prob)Elite🔒 Confidence raised