Alex De Minaur vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

BeijingHard courtOctober 3, 2026

SetProb predicts Alex De Minaur to win (60% probability) over Andrey Rublev.

Winner: Alex De MinaurOur pick: Alex De Minaur (60%)Correct

Alex De Minaur

Rank #10 Top 10

H2H 4-5

Andrey Rublev

Rank #24 Top 30

60%Probability: Alex De Minaur40%

ELO

57%43%

H2H

44%56%

H2H Surface

44%56%

Surface

57%43%

Last 10

55%45%

Season Form

54%46%

Our model: 60%·Odds (Kalshi): 53%·Edge: +7%

Probability→ Favor Alex De Minaur (60% prob)Close match