Daniil Medvedev vs Francisco Cerundolo Prediction

BeijingHard courtOctober 4, 2026

SetProb predicts Daniil Medvedev to win (70% probability) over Francisco Cerundolo.

Winner: Daniil MedvedevOur pick: Daniil Medvedev (62%)Correct

Daniil Medvedev

Rank #6 Top 10

H2H 1-1

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank #22 Top 30

70%Probability: Daniil Medvedev30%

ELO

66%34%

H2H

50%50%

H2H Surface

50%50%

Surface

56%44%

Last 10

59%41%

Season Form

56%44%

Our model: 70%·Odds (Kalshi): 72%·Edge: -2%

Probability→ Favor Daniil Medvedev (70% prob)Strong signal