Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

BeijingHard courtOctober 6, 2026

SetProb predicts Novak Djokovic to win (61% probability) over Alex De Minaur.

Winner: Novak DjokovicOur pick: Novak Djokovic (61%)Correct

Novak Djokovic

Rank #11 Top 30

H2H 3-1

Alex De Minaur

Rank #9 Top 10

61%Probability: Novak Djokovic39%

ELO

55%45%

H2H

75%25%

H2H Surface

67%33%

Surface

48%52%

Last 10

49%51%

Season Form

53%47%

Our model: 61%·Odds (Kalshi): 62%·Edge: -1%·Market agrees

Probability→ Favor Novak Djokovic (61% prob)Close match