Elise Mertens vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

BeijingHard courtOctober 9, 2026

SetProb predicts Iga Swiatek to win (75% probability) over Elise Mertens.

Winner: Elise MertensOur pick: Iga Swiatek (75%)Wrong

Elise Mertens

Rank #19 Top 30

H2H 0-2

Iga Swiatek

Rank #9 Top 10

25%Probability: Iga Swiatek75%

ELO

28%72%

H2H

17%83%

H2H Surface

25%75%

Surface

42%58%

Last 10

47%53%

Season Form

44%56%

Our model: 75%·Odds (Kalshi): 81%·Edge: -6%·Market agrees

Probability→ Favor Iga Swiatek (75% prob)Elite