Alex De Minaur vs Karen Khachanov Prediction

ShanghaiHard courtOctober 12, 2026

SetProb predicts Alex De Minaur to win (67% probability) over Karen Khachanov.

Winner: Alex De MinaurOur pick: Alex De Minaur (67%)Correct
AUS
Alex De Minaur
Rank #9 Top 10
vs
H2H 2-2
Karen Khachanov
Rank #27 Top 30
RUS
67%Probability: Alex De Minaur33%
ELO
61%39%
H2H
50%50%
H2H Surface
50%50%
Surface
58%42%
Last 10
48%52%
Season Form
53%47%
Our model: 67%·Odds (Kalshi): 54%·Edge: +13%·Market agrees
Probability→ Favor Alex De Minaur (67% prob)Moderate

Shanghai Masters predictions · All of today's matches · Daily picks · Model accuracy