Darja Semenistaja vs Mathilde Lollia Prediction

LisbonClay courtOctober 13, 2026

SetProb predicts Darja Semenistaja to win (68% probability) over Mathilde Lollia.

Winner: Mathilde LolliaOur pick: Darja Semenistaja (68%)Wrong

Darja Semenistaja

Rank #131 Top 200

No H2H

Mathilde Lollia

Rank #640 Outside Top 200

68%Probability: Darja Semenistaja32%

ELO

70%30%

H2H

50%50%

H2H Surface

50%50%

Surface

45%55%

Last 10

35%65%

Season Form ⚠ Limited data

41%59%

Our model: 68%·Odds (Kalshi): 83%·Edge: -15%·Market agrees

Probability→ Favor Darja Semenistaja (68% prob)Strong signal