Madalena Matias vs Polona Hercog Prediction

LisbonClay courtOctober 13, 2026

SetProb predicts Polona Hercog to win (76% probability) over Madalena Matias.

Winner: Polona HercogOur pick: Polona Hercog (76%)Correct

Madalena Matias

Rank #1358 Outside Top 200

No H2H

Polona Hercog

Rank #224 Outside Top 200

24%Probability: Polona Hercog76%

ELO

28%72%

H2H

50%50%

H2H Surface

50%50%

Surface

46%54%

Last 10

67%33%

Season Form ⚠ Limited data

54%46%

Our model: 76%·Odds (Kalshi): 98%·Edge: -22%·Market agrees

Probability→ Favor Polona Hercog (76% prob)Elite