Ariana Geerlings Martinez vs Lucia Cortez Llorca Prediction

MallorcaClay courtOctober 14, 2026

SetProb predicts Ariana Geerlings Martinez to win (55% probability) over Lucia Cortez Llorca.

Ariana Geerlings Martinez

Rank #505 Outside Top 200

H2H 2-2

Lucia Cortez Llorca

Rank #395 Outside Top 200

55%Probability: Ariana Geerlings Martinez45%

ELO

57%43%

H2H

50%50%

H2H Surface

33%67%

Surface

61%39%

Last 10

51%49%

Season Form

57%43%

Our model: 55%·Odds (Kalshi): 70%·Edge: -15%·Market agrees

Probability→ Favor Ariana Geerlings Martinez (55% prob)Low confidence

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