Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Prediction

ShanghaiHard courtOctober 16, 2026

SetProb predicts Daniil Medvedev to win (74% probability) over Tommy Paul.

RUS
Daniil Medvedev
Rank #5 Top 10
vs
H2H 4-1
Tommy Paul
Rank #17 Top 30
USA
74%Probability: Daniil Medvedev26%
ELO
58%42%
H2H
80%20%
H2H Surface
100%0%
Surface
53%47%
Last 10
52%48%
Season Form
53%47%
Our model: 74%·Odds (Kalshi): 67%·Edge: +7%·Market agrees
Probability→ Favor Daniil Medvedev (74% prob)Strong signal
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