Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

ViennaHard courtOctober 30, 2026

SetProb predicts Carlos Alcaraz to win (80% probability) over Tommy Paul.

Tommy Paul

Rank #14 Top 30

H2H 2-7

Carlos Alcaraz

Rank #3 Top 10

20%Probability: Carlos Alcaraz80%

ELO

28%72%

H2H

22%78%

H2H Surface

33%67%

Surface

40%60%

Last 10

47%53%

Season Form

40%60%

Our model: 80%·Odds (Kalshi): 77%·Edge: +3%·Market agrees

Probability→ Favor Carlos Alcaraz (80% prob)Elite

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