Wimbledon 2026 · Data Analysis

Grass ELO Power Rankings

Who has actually dominated on grass in 2026? SetProb's model combines grass-specific ELO ratings built from 14 months of match data with every player's 2026 grass court win-loss record to rank the true grass court contenders heading into Wimbledon.

📅 Updated June 27, 2026
🎾 ATP · Wimbledon Draw Players Only
Min. 4 grass matches · 3+ wins in 2026
🏆 Grass ELO Leader
Taylor Fritz
ELO 2229 · 10W-2L
Highest grass ELO in the draw and the most wins. The clear data favourite heading into Wimbledon.
🔥 Unbeaten on Grass
Francisco Cerundolo
ELO 1998 · 5W-0L
The only player in the draw with a perfect 2026 grass record across 5+ matches. Seeded 18th.
⚡ Dark Horse
Ethan Quinn
ELO 1978 · 5W-1L
7th highest grass ELO in the draw, 5-1 record. Ranked outside the top 50 but the data says otherwise.
ATP Wimbledon 2026 Grass ELO Rankings
# Player Grass ELO 2026 W-L
1 Taylor FritzSeed 6HOT 2229 10-2
2 Ben SheltonSeed 4 2157 8-1
3 Daniil MedvedevSeed 8 2095 6-2
4 Alexander ZverevSeed 2 2081 3-1
5 Alex De MinaurSeed 5 2057 5-2
6 Felix Auger-AliassimeSeed 3 2028 3-2
7 Frances TiafoeSeed 17HOT 2027 7-1
8 Francisco CerundoloSeed 185-0 1998 5-0
9 Tommy PaulSeed 21 1991 4-2
10 Ethan QuinnDARK HORSE 1978 5-1
11 Alejandro Davidovich FokinaSeed 22 1958 5-2
12 Jiri LeheckaSeed 13 1942 3-2
13 Kamil Majchrzak 1906 10-3
14 Brandon NakashimaSeed 28 1906 3-1
15 Zizou Bergs 1904 4-4
16 Fabian Marozsan 1901 4-3
17 Nuno Borges 1847 5-3
18 Raphael Collignon 1845 4-2
19 Benjamin BonziHOT 1836 7-2
20 Adrian Mannarino 1833 4-3

See live win probabilities for every Wimbledon 2026 match, updated twice daily.

View Wimbledon Picks →